干线传输机房搬迁的风险管理分析.pdfVIP

摘要 随着通信网络的融合，为了提高网络安全性能和维护管理效益，干线传输机房搬迁是运 营商经常选择的方式，但干线传输机房搬迁是具有高风险值的项目，涉及技术风险、业务风 险、组织与管理风险等多个方面。由于干线传输机房承载着大量重要电路，因此搬迁的成功 与否对运营商而言至关重要，与一般工程项目相比，此类项目的风险管理更为复杂，目前也 缺乏系统的风险管理研究。如何提高搬迁成功率和提高工作效率，采用科学的方法识别、评 估、应对和监控此类项目风险是值得深入探讨研究的。 本文以干线传输机房搬迁项目为研究对象，结合实际工作经验，在深入总结干线传输机 房搬迁项目特点的基础上，将风险管理系统理论引进干线传输机房搬迁项目中进行应用。以 实际工程案例为背景，给出了具体项目的风险管理过程和方法，包括风险管理规划、风险识 别评估、风险应对和风险监控。重点分析了干线终端站机房搬迁的风险点，采用 AHP 量化方 法结合 YAAHP 模拟软件研究了此类项目的风险评估，制定了具体风险应对措施，提出了风 险监控的方法。论文总结的风险管理研究思路和方法，为后续类似项目的管理，尤其是风险 管理提供了一定的借鉴。 关键词: 风险管理 传输 搬迁 割接 I 万方数据 Abstract With the integration of communication network ，BTC （Backbone Transmission Centre ）’s relocation is usually to be the choice for improving the network security performance and the benefit of maintenance management.As we all know that BTC’s relocation is a kind of high-risk projects ,which includes technical risk,service risk ,organization and management of risk and so on. BTC’s successful relocation is crucial to telecommunications operators because it loads a large amount of important services.It is also more complicated than normal engineering project.Currently its lack of research on risk management system.How to improve success ratio of relocation and how to improve work efficiency.So its worth further probing in reducing risk of BTC’s relocation. The paper put the theory of risk management into BTC’s relocation on the basis of author’s work experience and characteristics of project,including the risk management of the project to analyze，risk identification, planning to monitor and control all stages of research and put forward effective measures to deal with. The paper is focused on the use of AHP method by YAAHP into risk