江苏FDI对环境影响评价的实证研究.pdf

International Conference on Education, Management and Computer Science (ICEMC 2016) Empirical Research on the Impact of FDI to Environmental Pollution in Jiangsu Wenjing Shan 1School of Economics, Shanghai University, Shanghai, China a 1551073147@ *The corresponding author Keywords: Jiangsu province; FDI; Environmental pollution; Empirical research Abstract. The paper collect the data of industrial waste water, industrial waste gas, industrial solid wastes, foreign direct investment (FDI) and net export of Jiangsu Province from 1995 to 2014 ,with the methods of econometrics and E-views, to analyze quantitatively the relationship between FDI of Jiangsu and environment. The conclusion is industrial waste has no correlation between FDI. But industrial waste and industrial solid waste have a positive correlation between them and FDI, and the correlation coefficients were 0.89 and 0.47. FDI is not the Granger cause for industrial waste water, but for industrial waste gas and industrial solid wastes. Generally, Jiangsu FDI has a negative influence in environment, and the Hypothesis of Pollution Haven is proofed. 江苏省FDI 对环境影响的实证研究 单文晶 1.上海大学经济学院、人口、资源与环境经济学，中国上海200444 a 1551073147@ 摘要：本文以江苏省1995 年至2014 年的工业废气、工业废水和工业固体废弃物的排放量， 以及外商直接投资（FDI）金额和净出口数额为基础，实证分析了江苏省FDI 与环境的关系， 得出江苏省FDI 与工业废水相关性不大，与工业废气和工业固体废弃物相关性较大，相关系 数分别为0.89 和0.47；FDI 不是工业废水的格兰杰原因，是工业废气和工业固体废弃物的格 兰杰原因。总体来说，江苏FDI 对环境存在负面影响，污染避难所假说成立。 关键词：江苏省； FDI；环境影响；实证研究 1. 前言 江苏省依托其独特的地理位置，在吸引外资方面显示出极大的吸引力，引进数额一直持续增 加。2003 年，江苏省首次超越广东省成为全国吸引外资最多的省份。2012 年，江苏省合同利 用FDI 项目为4156 个，合同FDI 为571 亿美元，实际利用FDI 为357 亿美元，占全国吸引 FDI 的32%。而随着经济