广州电网负荷特性分析..docVIP

广州电网负荷特性分析 陈 健1 , 刘明波2 , 樊亚亮1 , 徐 兵 1 (1. 广东电网公司广州供电局, 广州510620; 2. 华南理工大学电力学院, 广州510640 摘要: 十五! 期间广州地区电网最大负荷持续快速增长, 峰谷差逐年增大, 高峰时段和电力设备检修季节电力供应紧张, 给电网安全运行带来很大威胁, 也给电力负荷分析预测、电网规划计划工作带来许多困难。本文在积累和分析大量负荷特性数据的基础上, 第一次较全面、完整地摸清了广州电网负荷的变化规律及发展趋势。深入分析了气温对负荷的影响, 提出温度敏感点的概念, 计算出广州降温负荷的比重, 对电力最高负荷的短期预测有较强的指导作用。文中给出的广州电网负荷特性值有较高的可信度, 将为电网规划及调度计算电网年最大负荷提供有力的依据。 关键词:负荷特性; 预测; 负荷特性指标; 气温敏感点 中图分类号:T M 714 文献标志码:A 文章编号:1003 8930(2009 06 0078 06 Studies on Load Characteristics of Guangzhou Power Network CH EN Jian 1, LIU M ing bo 2, FAN Ya liang 1, XU Bing 1 (1. Guangzhou Pow er Supply Bureau, Guangzhou 510620, China; 2. The Departm ent of Electr ical Pow er of South China U niversity of Technolog y, Guang zhou 510640, China Abstract:In 11th five y ear plan, the max imal load of G uang zhou a rea s pow er netw or k per sists increases fast , and the load gap betw een peak and v alley becomes mor e and mor e ev ident. T he pow er supply is ver y st rained in peak load per iod and seaso n fo r fixing electr icity po wer equipments. It br ings pro dig io us menace for the safet y and stability r unning of power netw or k, and also brings many difficulties for the load fo recasting and pow er netw or k planning. Based on the accumulating and analyzing many lo ad char acter istic data, a chang ing rule and dev eloping trend o f the Guangzho u ar ea s lo ad was obtained in the fir st t ime. It go es deep into ana lyzing the temper ature infection to the load, adv ances the co ncepts about temper ature sensitiv e po int , and calculates the propor tio n o f the G uang zhou ar ea s lo wer t em perat e load. Because the Guangzho u pow er netwo rk s load char ac teristic has high credibility , it w ill pro vide a st rong basis for the pow er netwo rk s pr og ramming plans and the annual peak load accounting. Key words:lo ad characterist ic; eo recast; lo ad character istic index ; temper atur e sensitive po int 十五! 期间广州地区电网最大负荷持续较快速增长, 峰谷差增大, 高峰时段和电力设备检修季节电力供应紧张, 电网高峰运行困难, 给电网安全运行带来很大威胁, 也给电