第七讲项目风险管理.pptVIP

Topic addressed in a risk management plan Risk categories: what are the main categories of risks that should be addressed on this project? Is there a risk breakdown structure for the project? Risk probability and impact: how will the probabilities and impacts of risk items be assessed? What scoring and interpretation methods will be used for the qualitative and quantitative analysis of risks Risk documenting: what reporting formats and process will be used for risk management activities. 风险的种类：项目中涉及的主要风险的种类有哪些？是否编制出与WBS和OBS相应项目风险结构分解图？ 风险的概率和影响：风险项目发生的概率和对项目目标产生的影响如何评价？什么样的打分和解释的方法可用来定性和定量地分析项目风险？ 风险登记：采用怎样的报告形式和流程用来登记风险管理活动。 Project documents Corporate risk management policies Risk categories Lessons-learned reports from past project Templates for creating a risk management plan The risk tolerances of various stakeholders A risk management plan: summarizes how risk management will be performed on a particular project 完善的风险计划 威胁与灾害 应急方案与缓和计划 损失和破坏 不完善的风险计划 威胁与灾害 应急方案与缓和计划 损失和破坏 Risk Identification Identifying risk is the process of understanding what potential events might hurt or enhance a particular project。 风险识别是了解可能损害和增强特定项目效益的潜在风险事件的过程。 Tools and techniques The risk register 项目风险管理计划 项目计划信息： 工作分解结构：项目的产品描述、项目的工期和成本估计 、资源规划、采购计划、假设前提和限制条件； 风险类别 历史资料：项目文档、公开发表的资料、项目团队 成员的知识和经验 访谈法 SWOT 检查表法 假设前提分析 图示技术 文件审核 头脑风暴 德尔菲法 Identified risks triggers Suggestions for identifying risks Brainstorming: is a techniques for by which a group attempts to generate ideas or find a solution for a specific problem by amassing ideas spontaneously and without judgment Delphi technique is to derive a consensus among a panel of experts who make predictions about future developments Interviewing: is a fact-finding technique for collecting information in face-to-face, phone, e-mail, or instant-messaging discussions The Risk Register A risk register is a document that contains results of various risk management process, often displayed in a table or spreadsheet format. It is a too