crystal_ball 模拟基础教程.ppt

* Figure 13.44 The Decision Table for the case study introduced in Section 13.1. * Figure 13.45 The overlay chart that compares the frequency distributions for order quantities of 55 and 60 for 佛莱迪’s problem. * Figure 13.46 The trend chart that shows the trend in the range of various portions of the frequency distribution as the order quantity increases for 佛莱迪’s problem. * Figure 13.47 This dialogue box specifies the characteristics of the decision variable Our Bid (C25) in Figure 13.11 for the Reliable Construction Co. contract bidding problem. * Figure 13.48 The first Decision Table dialogue box for the Reliable Construction Co. contract bidding problem. * Figure 13.48 The second Decision Table dialogue box for the Reliable Construction Co. contract bidding problem. * Figure 13.48 The third Decision Table dialogue box for the Reliable Construction Co. contract bidding problem. * Figure 13.49 The Decision Table for the Reliable Construction Co. contract bidding problem described in Section 13.2. * Figure 13.50 The Decision Table for the Transcontinental Airlines overbooking problem described in Section 13.6. * Figure 13.50 The Trend Chart for the Transcontinental Airlines overbooking problem described in Section 13.6. * * Figure 13.28 A spreadsheet model for applying computer simulation to the Transcontinental Airlines overbooking problem. The assumption cells are Simulated Ticket Demand (C10) and Number that Show (C17). The forecast cells are Profit (F23), Number of Filled Seats (C20), and Number Denied Boarding (C21). The decision variable is Reservations to Accept (C13). * Figure 13.29 A binomial distribution being entered into the assumption cell Number that Show (C17). * Figure 13.30 The frequency chart summarizes the results for the forecast cell Profit (F23) from running the simulation model in Figure 13.28 for the Transcontinental Airlines overbooking problem. The certainty box below the chart reveals that 98.9% of the trials result in a posit