德意志银行-新兴市场固定收益-20170802-deutschebank-emfixedincome:whatthebetastocoreratesaretellingus-12页.pdfVIP
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Deutsche Bank
Markets Research
Emerging Markets Rates Date
Gov. Bonds Swaps 2 August 2017
Christian Wietoska
Strategist
EM Fixed Income (+44) 20 754-52424
christian.wietoska@
What the betas to core rates are telling Guilherme Marone
Strategist
us (+1) 212 250-8640
guilherme.marone@
This chart pack provides an update on sensitivity in EM local bonds to 10Y UST
Betas for 10Y EM bonds to US-treasuries experienced a sharp increase Swapnil Kalbande
post the US-election outcome in Nov-16. By looking into the 90d rolling Strategist
betas for the regions - EMEA, LatAm and Asia - we see record high levels (+65 ) 6423 5925
in Q4-16, followed by a sharp decline in the following months, as late swapnil.kalbande@
betas are slowly grinding higher again across all three regions.
Betas to US rates are significantly higher during bearish periods. In
particular, high-yielders (South Africa, Mexico, Turkey, Brazil) are
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