AW101_Argument_现场文章大学考研英语四六级雅思托福考研大小作文宝典策略技巧范文模板.docVIP

The following appeared in a letter from a firm providing investment advice to a client. Homes in the northeastern United States, where winters are typically cold, have traditionally used oil as their major fuel for heating. Last year that region experienced twenty days with below-average temperatures, and local weather forecasters throughout the region predict that this weather pattern will continue for several more years. Furthermore, many new homes have been built in this region during the past year. Because of these developments, we predict an increased demand for heating oil and recommend investment in Consolidated Industries, one of whose major business operations is the retail sale of home heating oil. 去年冷 + forecasters说今后冷 - 今后冷 – 取暖demand上升 Tips: 去年冷是个fact不能攻击，但是forecasters是个主观的东西，可以攻击； 更多的房子 – 更多的取暖demand heating oil demand上升（用oil来取暖） Tips: 12-3 Consolidated能够盈利（主营heating oil） 投资Consolidated（dividend） Even if we acknowledge that there will be a rising demand for heating oil in northeastern United States, more evidence is needed to evaluate whether Consolidated can profit from it, since profitability depends on revenues and costs. While it might be true that Consolidated can earn more revenues thanks to rising heating oil demand, evidence may indicate chaotic and unorganized corporate management, leading to an operational cost that far exceeds revenue. In other words, Consolidated might not profit at all and the recommendation for investment in Consolidated may not be a wise one. On the other hand, if we know from evidence that costs are well managed by Consolidated, we can anticipate a rising profits, making the author’s suggestion more convincing.