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The council of Maple County, concerned about the countys becoming overdeveloped, is debating a proposed measure that would prevent the development of existing farmland in the county. But the council is also concerned that such a restriction, by limiting the supply of new housing, could lead to significant increases in the price of housing in the county. Proponents of the measure note that Chestnut County established a similar measure ten years ago, and its housing prices have increased only modestly since. However, opponents of the measure note that Pine County adopted restrictions on the development of new residential housing fifteen years ago, and its housing prices have since more than doubled. The council currently predicts that the proposed measure, if passed, will result in a significant increase in housing prices in Maple County.
Council proposed measure will lead to significant increase in housing price
+: Chestnut County: similar measure; modest increase
Q: Are Chestnut County and Maple County are comparable
A: Yes – prediction weakened; no – prediction OK.
-: Pine County: similar measure; double
Q: … comparable
A Yes – prediction strengthened; no – weakened.
Q: Maple population?
Q: Assumption: Farmland - houses
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the prediction and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the prediction.
Response 1:
The council of Maple County argues that enacting restrictions in terms of farmland in the county will bring about a dramatic increase in housing prices.To support this,the council points out that since Pine County adopted similar restrictions,the housing prices have risen sharply.However, the conclusion is based on several questionable assumptions and is therefore unpersuasive.If Pine is to serve as model,let us ascertain whether it is an analogue of Mapple to begin with.
T
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