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CFA Level II
Questions #1-6 of 42
Questions 1–6 relate to Goldensand Jewelry, Ltd.
Introduction CFA/FRM studying materials,WeChat:musiq1237
Rajesh Singh is the CFO of Goldensand Jewelry, Ltd, a London-based retailer of fine jewelry and watches. Singh has
noticed that the price of gold has begun to increase. If economic activity continues to pick up, the price of gold is likely to
accelerate its rate of increase as both the level of demand and inflation rates increase.
Implications of Rising Gold Price
Singh has become concerned about the cost implications for Goldensand if gold prices continue to rise. He has requested
a meeting with Anita Biscayne, Goldensands COO. In preparation for the meeting, Singh asked one of his staff,
Yasunobu Hara, to prepare a regression analysis comparing the price of gold to the average cost of Goldensands
purchases of finished gold jewelry. Hara provides the regression results as shown in Exhibit 1.
Exhibit 1: 1979–2009 Annual Data (31 Observations)
Variable Coefficient Standard Error of the Coefficient
Intercept 11.06 7.29
Cost of gold 2.897 0.615
standard error of the forecast = 117.8
Exhibit 2: Partial Students t-distribution Table
Level of Significance for One-Tailed Test
df 0.100 0.050 0.025 0.010 0.005 0.0005
Level of Significance for Two-Tailed Test
df 0.200 0.100 0.050 0.020 0.010 0.001
29 1.311 1.699 2.045 2.462 2.756 3.659
30 1.310 1.697 2.042 2.457 2.750 3.646
31 1.309 1.696 2.040 2.453 2.744 3.636
Reviewing the regression results, Biscayne becomes concerned about the implications for the cost of finished jewelry to
Goldensand if the price of gold continues to rise. To remain profitable, the cost of finished jewelry should not exceed
$2,000.
Regression Concerns
Overall Concerns
Singhs principal concern about the regression is whether the ti
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