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CFA Level II
Questions #1-6 of 42
Questions 91–96 relate to Yi Tang.
Yi Tang updates several economic parameters monthly for use by the analysts and the portfolio managers at her firm. If
economic conditions warrant, she will update the parameters even more frequently. As a result of an economic slowdown,
she is going through this process now. CFA/FRM studying materials,WeChat:musiq1237
The firm has been using an equity risk premium of 5.2%, derived using historical estimates. By comparing the yields on
nominal bonds and real bonds, Tang estimates the expected inflation rate to be 2.6%. She expects real domestic growth
to be 3.0%. Tang believes that the markets are currently overvalued by 3%. The yield on the market index is 1.7%, and
the expected risk-free rate of return is 2.7%.
Elizabeth Trotter, one of the firms portfolio Managers, asks Tang about the effects of survivorship bias on estimates of the
equity risk premium. Trotter asks, Which method is most susceptible to this bias: historical estimates, Gordon growth
model estimates, or survey estimates?
Tang wishes to estimate the required rate of return for Northeast Electric (NE) using the Capital Asset Pricing Model
(CAPM) and the Fama-French model. She uses the following information to accomplish this:
Factor Risk Premium Factor Sensitivity
Market 5.2% 0.83 (historical)
Size 3.2% –0.76
Value 5.4% –0.04
Liquidity 1.1% 0.20
Trotter has one final question for Tang. Trotter says, We need to estimate the equity beta for VixPRO, which is a private
company that is not publicly traded. We have identified a publicly traded company that has similar operating
characteristics to VixPRO, and we have estimated the beta for that company using regression analysis. We used the
return on the public company as the dependent variable and the return on the market index as the independen
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