外商直接投资对杭州市经济增长的实证研究.docVIP

PAGE PAGE 30 外商直接投资对杭州市经济增长的实证研究 摘要 20世纪中期以来，国际直接投资的规模和比重不断增加，投资呈现出多样化的特征，其对于经济活动的固有影响日益显现。改革开放以来，大量外商直接投资流入中国，对中国经济快速发展起到推进作用。浙江省是我国利用外资的代表性区域，而杭州市一直处于浙江省各市利用FDI排名的前列。虽然有研究表明外商直接投资对浙江省经济增长产生了促进(正相关)作用，但是也有研究表明外商直接投资在某些情况下有可能对东道国经济产生制约(负相关)作用。因此针对杭州市FDI对经济增长的研究将具有很强的理论价值和现实意义。 本文利用杭州市1995—2012年的数据，通过理论介绍、现状分析和实证分析，研究外商直接投资对杭州市经济增长所产生的影响。本文第一章介绍研究背景和实际意义以及梳理当前国内外主要研究成果和结论。第二章通过杭州市相关指标数据分析杭州市吸引外商直接投资现状。第三章通过资本形成效应、产业结构优化效应、贸易效应、就业效应四个方面分析杭州市外商直接投资的经济效应。第四章利用计量模型定量探讨外商直接投资对杭州市经济增长的作用。结果表明：FDI对杭州市经济增长存在促进作用。第五章，论文在现状分析和实证研究的基础上，针对杭州市更好得利用外商直接投资提出对策和建议。 关键词：外商直接投资 经济增长 杭州市 The empirical study of foreign direct investment in economic growth in Hangzhou Abstract Since the middle of the 20th century,the scale and proportion of FDI increased，showing the characteristics of diversified investment,of which inherent effects on economic activity has emerged and become greater.A large amount of FDI flow into China and play an important role on development of China’s economy in the process of reform and opening up.Zhejiang province is the representative region of using FDI in China while Hangzhou ranks the forefront of the cities.Many researches illustrate FDI promote economic growth in Zhejiang province. Meanwhile,some researches indicate FDI might restrict economic growth in some circumstance.So the study about FDI on economic growth in Hangzhou will have a strong theoretical and practical significance. This thesis mainly study effect of FDI on economic growth in Hangzhou,by the way of proposing theoretical model,analyzing current situation and empirical study, using the related data between 1995-2012.The thesis introduces the research background and practical significance,and comb the current main research results and conclusions at home and abroad in chapter one.In chapter two,the thesis reveals situation about FDI in Hangzhou through relevant index data analysis. Chapter three is the analysis of the economic effect of the FDI，including four respects of capital effect，techn