基于SVM的地震目录最大余震预测算法的设计与实现论文.docVIP

PAGE 基于SVM的地震目录最大余震预测算法设计与实现 摘 要 随着信息技术的快速发展，地震数据库中的数据量急剧增加。地震数据的海量涌现，给人们对于地震数据的分析研究带来了极大便利。然而，人们真正需要的是通过对这些已知数据的分析研究，提取真正直观有效的信息。数据挖掘是数据分析的重中之重，本设计就是根据需要把数据挖掘技术引入到地震研究领域，讨论数据挖掘的一个核心技术——分类预测，运用一种有效的预测方法——基于SVM（支持向量机）的预测回归，研究主震与最大余震之间的关系，预测最大余震，为地震预报提供更有价值的信息。 首先，对地震数据进行预处理。将哈佛CMT地震目录运用最小二乘法解矛盾方程构造拟合函数的方法计算缺失能量数据，运用聚类、分块的方法寻找地震目录数据中的主震与最大余震。 其次，运用SVM算法预测主震与最大余震之间的关系。 最后，对预测结果结构进行了分析、验证。 关键词：地震目录;支持向量机;预测回归 The design and implementation about the prediction algorithm of Earthquake catalogue maximum aftershocks based on SVM? Abstract With the rapid development of information technology, the amount of seismic data in the database has increased dramatically. The massive emergence of seismic data, to analysis and research of seismic data for people brought great convenience. People really need is, however, through the analysis and study of the known data, extract the real visual information effectively. Data mining is the key of the data analysis, this design is based on the need to introduce data mining technology in the field of earthquake research, discuss the a core technology of data mining, classification prediction, the use of an effective prediction method based on SVM (support vector machine (SVM) classification prediction, study the main shock and the relationship between the maximum aftershock, predict the largest aftershocks, provide more valuable information for earthquake prediction. First, the seismic data preprocessing. Harvard CMT earthquake directory using the least squares solution of contradiction between lack of fitting equation of the structure function method to calculate the energy data, using the method of clustering, blocking the search for earthquake catalog data of the main shock and maximum aftershock. Secondly, using the SVM algorithm to predict the relationship between the main shock and aftershocks biggest. Finally, the structure are analyzed, verifying the result of the forecast. Keywords: Earthquake Catalogue;Support Vector Machine(SVM