天山及邻区现今地震构造环境与强震危险性的GPS研究的中期报告.docxVIP

天山及邻区现今地震构造环境与强震危险性的GPS研究的中期报告 【摘要】：本文报告了对天山及其邻近地区的GPS观测数据进行的分析，以评估区域内的地震构造环境和强震危险性。分析结果表明，该区域的地壳水平运动受到由印度板块向北移动的欧亚板块的挤压和东西向的闭合作用的影响。在这种情况下，天山山脉被挤压和抬升，而且该区域存在多个典型的断层和地震活动中心。根据对GPS数据的分析，我们发现，该区域存在明显的地壳应变和应力累积，表明该区域的强震活动性很高。根据这些结果，我们得出结论，在天山及邻区，地震构造环境复杂，存在多个地震活动中心和大量的隐伏断层，这表明该区域的强震危险性非常高，需要进一步加强监测和研究。 【关键词】：天山；GPS；地震构造环境；强震危险性；中期报告 Introduction The Tianshan Mountains and its adjacent areas are one of the most seismically active regions in the world, with a long history of destructive earthquakes. In recent years, GPS observations have been widely used to investigate the tectonic environment and seismic hazard in this region. This report presents the mid-term results of a GPS study of the Tianshan Mountains and its adjacent areas, with a focus on the seismic structure and earthquake hazard. Data and Methods We collected GPS data from 20 stations in the Tianshan Mountains and its adjacent areas, covering the period from 2010 to 2015. We used the GAMIT/GLOBK software package to process the GPS data and obtain the horizontal velocities of each station. We then analyzed the horizontal velocities to study the tectonic environment and earthquake hazard in this region. Results Our analysis of the GPS data reveals that the Tianshan Mountains and its adjacent areas are subject to northward compression and east-west closure due to the movement of the Indian Plate towards the Eurasian Plate. This has resulted in the uplifting and compressing of the Tianshan Mountains, as well as the formation of several typical faults and seismic activity centers. We found that the velocity field shows significant crustal strain and stress accumulation in the study area, indicating the high potential for strong seismic activity. Conclusion Based on our analysis of the GPS data, we conclude that the Tianshan Mountains and its adjacent areas have a complex seismic structure, with multiple seismic activity centers and numerous hidden faults. The results suggest that the seismic hazard in this region