水文频率适线法案例（目估）.pptx

主讲：马雪琴杨凌职业技术学院副教授工程水文及水利计算年径流水文频率计算——水文频率适线法案例

【例】某河某断面的流量资料见下表（单位m3/s)。试用适线法推求该站年径流量的频率曲线，并确定相应于频率为P=10%设计丰水年、P=50%设计枯水年、P=90%设计枯水年的设计年径流量。年份1956195719581959196019611962196319641965年径流量766.9346.4459.0627.9646.5516.5345.1581.3936.5289.6年份1966196719681969197019711972197319741975年径流量621.5581.8387.7660.3502.9497.1450.1682.3497.5365.1年份197619771978197919801981198219831984年径流量582.0822.0500.6670.2466.1429.8406.8374.7413.2

年份(m3/s)序号①②③④⑤⑥⑦⑧1956766.91936.53.31.7600.7600.57761957346.428226.71.5450.5450.29701958459.03766.910.01.4420.442094682.313.31.2830.2830.08011960646.55670.216.71.2600.2600.06761961516.56660.320.01.2410.2410.05811962345.17646.523.31.2150.2150.04621963581.38627.926.71.1800.1800.03241964936.59621.530.01.1680.1680.0282196528931.0940.0940.00881966621.511581.836.71.0940.0940.00881967581.812581.340.01.0930.0930.00861968387.713516.543.30.971-0.0290.00081969660.314502.946.70.945-0.0550.00301970502.915500.650.00.941-0.0590.00351971497.116497.553.30.935-0.0650.00421972450.117497.156.70.934-0.0660.00441973682.318466.160.00.876-0.1240.0154197449730.863-0.1370.01881975365.120450.166.70.846-0.1540.02371976582.021429.870.00.808-0.1920.03691977822.022413.273.30.777-0.2230.04971978500.623406.876.70.765-0.2350.05521979670.224387.780.00.729-0.2710.07341980466.125374.783.30.704-0.2960.08761981429.826365.186.70.686-0.3140.09861982406.827346.490.00.651-0.3490.12181983374.728345.193.30.649-0.3510.12321984413.229289.696.70.544-0.4560.2079合计15427.428.999-0.0012.3369解：①计算、点绘经验点

②算绘理论频率曲线由统计参数初值，均值=532m3/s，变差系数Cv=0.30，设偏态系数Cs=2Cv=0.60，作为初试值，查模比系数表，计算不同频率P相应的xP值并列表，绘制理论频率曲线，并与经验点进行拟合。m3/s

③适线适线过程频率p(%)(1)12510205075909599第一次适线Cv=0.30,Cs=2Cvkp(2)1.831.711.541.401.240.970.780.640.560.44xp(3)973.6909.7819.3744.8659.7516.0415.0340.5297.9234.1Cv=0.30Cs=2Cv曲线中部偏于点上方曲线上下部偏于点下方

③适线适线过程频率p(%)(1)12510205075909599第二次适线Cv=0.32,Cs=3Cv(采用)kp(4)1.961.811.601.431.240.950.770.640.580.48xp(5)1042.7962.9851.2760.865