博鳌-亚洲经济前景及一体化进程2024年度报告.pdfVIP

博鳌亚洲论坛

亚洲经济前景及

一体化进程

2024年度报告

序言······································································IX

编写说明及致谢·······················································XI

写作团队成员························································XIII

缩略语··································································XV

第1篇亚洲经济前景与政策

第1章亚洲经济前景···································································003

1.1概述······································································································003

1.2经济增长前景··························································································004

1.3就业与收入前景·······················································································007

1.4通胀压力有所缓解····················································································010

1.5贸易与投资增长将会有所好转·····································································012

1.6金融市场前景可期····················································································015

第2章亚洲主要经济体经济政策展望···································021

2.1外部宏观政策··························································································021

2.2财政政策································································································024

2.3货币政策································································································028

III

第2篇亚洲经济一体化进程

第3章亚洲经济体货物贸易一体化进程·······························035

3.1亚洲货物贸易一体化稳中有进······································································035

3.2亚洲工厂一体化························································································047