麦肯锡McKinsey医疗保健的未来-通过下一代商业模式创造价值英文版12页.pdf

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HealthcareSystemsandServicesPractice

Thefutureofhealthcare:

Valuecreationthroughnext-

generationbusinessmodels

Whiletheconsumptionofhealthcareserviceswilllikelycontinuetogrow,itis

unclearthatindustryprofitpoolswillexpandoverthenextthreeyearsgiven

theimpactoftheCOVID-19pandemic.Healthcareplayerswhodevelopnew

andinnovativebusinessmodelswillcreatedisproportionatevalueinthis

environment,evenastheyfacelong-termchallenges.

byEmilyClark,ShubhamSinghal,andKyleWeber

©/GettyImages

January2021

ThehealthcareindustryintheUnitedStateshasexpectedacrossarangeofsub-segmentsinthe

experiencedsteadygrowthoverthepastdecadeservicesandtechnologyvertical,asspecialized

whilesimultaneouslypromotingquality,efficiency,playersareabletoprovideservicesatscale(for

andaccesstocare.Between2012and2019,profitexample,softwareandplatformsanddataand

pools(earningsbeforeinterest,taxes,analytics).Specialtypharmacyisanotherarea

depreciation,andamortization,orEBITDA)grewatwherestronggrowthinprofitpoolsislikely,with

acompoundaveragegrowthrateofroughly5between5and10percentCompoundAnnual

percent.ThisgrowthwasaidedinpartbyGrowthRate(CAGR)expectedininfusion

incrementalhealthcarespendingthatresultedservicesandhospital-ownedspecialty

fromthe2010AffordableCareAct.In2020,pharmacysub-segments.

subsidiesforqualifiedindividualpurchasersonthe

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