概率与定价策略：25元变24元之谜.pdfVIP

第五章

概率

Progressgoalsof

thischapter

★★☆☆☆☆

Level2

Bystudyingthisson,youwillbeableto:

1.Reachthelevelof[ElementaryUnderstanding]regardingeventsandtheir

likelihoodofoccurrence;2.Reachthelevelof[AdvancedUnderstanding]

regardingtheprobabilityofevents;

M:一个唱片商店里,卖30张老式硬唱片、一块钱卖两张,另外30张唱片是一块钱卖3张.那天,这60张

唱片全卖完了.

M：30张一块钱两张的唱片收入15元,30张一块钱3张的唱片收入10元,总共是25元.

M：第二天商店又拿出60张唱片放到柜台上.

:何必要自找来分唱片？如果30张唱片是一块钱卖两张,30张是一块钱卖3张,何不把60张唱

片放在一起,按两块钱5张来卖？这是一样的.

M：商店关门时,60张唱片全按两块钱5张卖出去了.可是,商店点钱时发现只卖得24元,不是25

元,这使他很吃惊.

M：你认为这一块钱到哪里去了？是不是有个伙计偷了？是不是给顾客找错了钱.

M:Inarecordstore,30old-fashionedhardrecordsweresoldfortwoforonedollar,andt

heother30recordsweresoldforthreeforonedollar.Thatday,all60recordsweresoldout.

M:Theincomefrom30recordsworthtwoyuanis15yuan,andtheincomefrom30recordsworth3yuanis10yuan,the

totalis25yuan.

M:Thenextdaythestoreownertookoutanother60recordsand

putthemonthecounter.

Boss:Whygotothetroubleofdividingtherecords?If30recordsaresoldtwoforonedollar,and30recordsares

oldthreeforonedollar,whynotput60recordstogetherandsellthematfivefortwodollars?Itsthesamething.

M:Whenthestoreclosed,all60recordsweresoldatthepriceof5for2yuan.Ho