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- 2026-03-16 发布于江苏
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March5,2026
FebruaryWrap:Europeanloanpricesslumpto2.5-yearlowasAIsell-offdeepens
By:RachelleKakouris
LossesacceleratedintheEuropeanloanmarketinFebruary,asmountingfearsofAIdisruptiondrovetheweightedaveragebidoftheMorningstar
EuropeanLeveragedLoanIndex(ELLI)toitslowestlevelsinceOctober2023.Againstthisbackdrop,theassetclassreturnednegative0.45%
(excludingcurrency)forthemonth—itsworstshowingsinceMarch2025,foracombinedJanuaryandFebruarylossofnegative0.75%.
WithconcernoverthevulnerabilityofloanissuersbusinessmodelstoAIriskcompoundedbytheimpactofwarintheMiddleEast(loanreturnswere
downanadditional53bpsoverthefirstthreetradingdaysofMarch),creditfundamentalsarenowexpectedtocomeunderrenewedpressure.
Februarymarkethighlights:
•TheweightedaveragebidoftheELLIfellto95.24—thelowestmonth-endreadingsinceJune2023.
•Atnegative0.45%(excludingcurrency),theELLIposteditsworstmonthlyperformancesinceMarch2025.
•SoftwareandITServicesdeepenedlosses,returning-5.28%and-5.92%respectively.
•Loanratingdowngradesexceededupgradesbythemostsince2020.
•Onthemonth-endmeasure,theaveragediscountedspreadoftheELLIhititshighestlevelsinceDecember2023.
•SupportfrominterestincomefelltothelowestlevelsinceSeptember2022.
Flashingred
TheEuropeanloanmarketrecordedanothermoribundperformancelastmonthasrenewedAI-disruptionfearsdraggedonalreadyfragileinvestor
sentiment,withalossof0.45%pushingtheyearsreturntoFeb.28downtonegative0.75%.
1
AmidasharpunwindingofriskthatresumedinearnestduringthefinalweekofFebruary,theELLIonFeb.24recordedachunkylossof21bps
(atthetime,thelarge
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