UNDP-中东军事升级：全球发展的逆转、政策应对选择（英）-2026 -27页.pdfVIP

UnitedNationsDevelopmentProgramme

MILITARYESCALATIONINTHEMIDDLEEAST:

REVERSALSINGLOBALDEVELOPMENT,

POLICYRESPONSEOPTIONS

13APRIL2026

1

Contents

ExecutiveSummary3

1Globalcontext:movingfromacutetoenduringeffects4

1.1Takingstockofacuteeffects5

2Enduringeects:Growth,energyandfoodinflationimpactsonpoverty6

2.1.Netenergyimporters:Concentratedvulnerability7

2.2.Globalspillovers:Broad-basedreversals10

2.3.Fiscalimplicationsandmultipliereects10

3A