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[期货]Chapter 11 Timing Indicators.ppt
Chapter 11Technical Analysis: Timing Indicators MOVING AVERAGES A moving average is a simple mathematical manipulation of raw data that provides up-to-date or moving indications of market activity. Many analysts have found that a single moving average is not accurate enough to use as a timing device, particularly in choppy markets. Moving average signals are popular among many money managers and speculators. The stochastic indicator(SI) was popularized by Dr. George Lane. The relative strength indicator (RSI) is essentially similar to the SI. The difference is that SI has two values while RSI has only one. The second SI value is derived by computing a moving average of the first SI value. Wilder’s Relative Strength Index RSI uses a mathematical formula to determine market strength, weakness, probable low or probable high. Weekly Corn Prices OSCILLATORS Oscillators are normally used in conjunction with other trend-following analysis tools and are subordinated to them. Weekly Aluminum Chart Volume And Open Interest Volume is the total number of contracts traded on a given day. Volume and Open Interest Interpretation ___________________________________ Price Volume Open Interest Market -------------------------------------------------------------- Increasing Increasing Increasing Technically strong Increasing Decreasing Decreasing Technically weak Decreasing Increasing Increasing Technically weak Decreasing Decreasing Decreasing Technically strong _________________________________________ Fibonacci Number Series retracements of price waves were often 50 percent of the original wave, with the range extending from one-third to two-thirds. Example: It is used in Retracements Occasionally, a correction retraces a Fibonacci percentage of the preceding wave. 0.382 and 0.618 relationships occur when wave five is not extended Corrective Wav
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