金融深化对浙江经济增长的实证研究毕业论文.doc

摘 要 目前，金融深化与经济增长之间的关系越来越受到经济学界的关注。本文以浙江省为例，通过对浙江省金融深化与经济发展现状进行分析，阐述金融深化与经济增长的关系理论并选取经济指标和建立单位根检验、协整检验及格兰杰因果关系检验模型分析金融深化对经济增长的作用。本文发现，金融深化促进了浙江省经济增长，同时，经济增长也加快了金融深化的进程，两者之间存在着格兰杰双向因果关系。基于这样的结论，本文提出相关的建议以促使浙江省的金融发展，更好地服务于经济增长。 关键词：金融深化，经济增长，实证分析 ABSTRACT Currently, the growing number of economists in theoretical and empirical fields have made the relationship between financial deepening and economic growth.I will analyze Zhejiang's situation of financial deepening and economic development to understand the existing economic advantages and disadvantages .At the same time,I will analyze the relationship between the financial deepening and economic growth.Secondly,use the empirical model to analyze the impact of financial deepening on economic development. Then,use the unit root test ,the cointegration test to test the relationship between variables,and finally use the Granger causality to test the causal relationship between economic growth and financial deepening .To draw the empirical conclusions:the financial deepening promote the economic development ,while economic growth also accelerate the process of financial deepening .It exists the two-way Granger causal relationship.Relevant recommendations have been provided to achieve financial stability,and the purpose of rapid economic growth. KEY WORDS: Financial deeping，Economic growth ，Empirical analysis 目 录 …………………………………………………………………………………………Ⅰ Abstract……………………………………………………………………………………Ⅱ 引言…………………………………………………………………………………………1 文献综述………………………………………………………………………………1 浙江省金融深化与经济增长现状……………………………………………………4 (一)经济增长现状……………………………………………………………………5 （二）金融深化现状………………………………………………………………… 6 金融深化与经济增长理论分析………………………………………………………8 （一）金融深化的储蓄、投资效应………………………………………………… 8 （二）金融深化的资源配置效应…………………………………………………… 9 实证检验………………………………………………………………………………9 （一）指标选取、模型确定………………………………………………………… 9 （二）单位根检验…………………………………………………………………… 11 （三）协整检验……………………………………………………………………… 11 （四）格兰杰因果关系检验………………………………………………………… 12 （五）