企业人才流动的“囚徒困境”问题研究论文.doc

南京航空航天大学硕士学位论文 摘要 随着经济的发展，企业之间的竞争逐渐演变成人才的竞争，如何能有效地 选人、用人和留人是每个企业人才发展战略的根本。因此关注人才流动，掌握 人才流动的动因和方向成为人力资源研究的重要内容。 本文从微观的角度建立了人才流动博弈模型框架，分析了人才流动各个环 节中的“囚徒困境”问题。文章从人才能力提升与价值回报的时间关系入手， 深入研究了人才能力提升与价值回报的滞后性，通过分析人才流动群体的形成 过程，进一步揭示了人才价值回报的滞后性是引起人才流动的又一内在的动 因。 本文应用灰色博弈链模型研究了人才流动的“囚徒困境”问题，推导了 人才流动的复制动态的进化过程，通过仿真，绘出人才流动的进化轨迹，求证 了在损益值不确定的非对称信息博弈中，进化稳定策略解收敛于一个固定大小 的灰色区域，区域的大小决定于博弈双方不同策略下的收益值。 文章通过研究人才流动中的“ Dilemma 现象”， 总结和分析了人才流动 中的规律，并建立模型，定义了“ Dilemma 系数”，通过对标准比对系数和个 体比对系数的求解与对比，发现个体流动的倾向，并考察各影响因素，制定出 应对人才流动的策略。文章在分析了人才流动整个过程中存在的问题后，从政 府、企业和个人三个角度出发，提出完善人才流动制度，加强流动市场的监管 以及增强个人道德与知识水平等政策建议，以促使人才流动趋向合理化。 关键词：人才流动，“囚徒困境”，灰色进化博弈，诚信博弈，Dilemma 现象 i 企业人才流动的“囚徒困境”问题研究 ABSTRACT With the economical development, the competition between enterprises gradually becomes the talented person competition. So the way of selecting and keeping human resource effectively is the foundation of human resource developing strategy for each corporate. Therefore, focusing the talent flow and mastering the reason and orientation become the important content that human resources studies. From the view of microcosmic, the paper built game models of talent flow and analyzed the ‘prisoners’ dilemma’ in it. Beginning with the relationship of time between the talented person ability lifting and their benefit, the paper did a research on the ability elevation of talented people and earning lag. By the forming process studying of flow group, it shows that the lag of benefit which was pay for the people whose ability had risen become another inherent reason of talent flow. Using the grey game chain model, the evolution process of ‘prisoners’ dilemma’ of talent flow was showed and we can get their growing picture by a simulation analysis. It gave a proving that the evolution stable strategy would converge a fixed size grey area. And the size of the area is decided by both players’ income under different strategies. After the studying of recruitment, the paper focused on the ‘Dilemma phenomenon’ of talent flow. Summa