基于面板数据的地区工业与生态协调优度分析.docVIP

基于面板数据的地区工业与生态协调优度分析 　　［基金项目］ 国家社会科学基金资助项目（11BKS044）? 　　［作者简介］1.朱土兴，男，丽水学院教授，主要从事区域经济理论与政策研究； 2.朱子云，男，中国工商银行丽水分行高级经济师，主要从事收入差距、风险计量研究； 3.朱磊，女，中共丽水市委党校讲师，主要从事环境理论与政策研究。 　　［摘 要］ 工业系统与生态系统协调度所隐含的问题不仅在于数量大小，而且还存在质量高低等问题。引入协调优度指标，从工业系统与生态系统的协调性、工业系统与生态系统的同优性两个维度的有机耦合的意义上构造实证分析方法，并以2003―2011年中国省省份域面板数据为样本的实证分析结果显示：协调发展优度的总体平均水平还不高；中部地区协调发展优度整体上处于领先水平，西部地区次之，东部地区居后，该地区表现为典型的两极分化特征；协调发展优度的总体平均水平在下降；协调发展优度差异程度在扩大；西部地区协调发展优度提升势头明显好于东部地区和中部地区，中部地区又好于东部地区，东部地区则出现了大面积的较大幅度下滑趋势。? 　　［关键词］ 工业系统; 生态系统; 协调度; 协调优度； 面板数据； 区域发展 　　 　　?? 　　Panel Data Analysis on the Optimization of the Coordination of Regional Industry and Ecology? 　　Zhu Tuxing?1 Zhu Ziyun?2 Zhu Lei?3? 　　（1.Lishui University， Lishui 323000， China; 2.Lishui Branch of Industrial and Commercial ?Bank of China， Lishui 323000， China; 3.Lishui Municipal Party College， Lishui 323000， China） 　　Abstract：The optimization of the coordination of industry and ecology refers to the ideal status in which orderly structure, effective functioning, stable operation and high?quality results are achieved through regulating factor inputs and controlling the processes of mutual acting, coupling and back coupling. It not only reflects the consistence of industrial and ecological systems in the evolving process but also the co?optimization of both systems. The optimization of coordination is characterized by the integrations of form and content, vertical and horizontal directions, stock and increment, quality and quantity, process and result, and the present and future. By introducing the indicators of optimization, a method of empirical analysis is created in the sense of the organic coupling of the co?optimization of the coordination of industrial and ecological systems. In other words, by usingto represent the co?optimization between industrialization and ecology, we made an empirical analysis based on the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2003―2011 by （1） the calculation formula of ?G=（1-｜E?s?i-F?s?i｜）×（1-｜E?t?i-F?t?i｜）?，whi