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AJRCCM Articles in Press. Published on July 14, 2005 as doi:10.1164/rccm.200506-862OC Derivation and Validation of a Prognostic Model for Pulmonary Embolism Drahomir Aujesky, MD, MSc1,2 D. Scott Obrosky, MSc2,3 Roslyn A. Stone, PhD3,4 Thomas E. Auble, PhD5 Arnaud Perrier, MD6 Jacques Cornuz, MD, MPH1 Pierre-Marie Roy, MD, PhD7 Michael J. Fine, MD, MSc2,3 Author Affiliations: 1Division of Internal Medicine, the Clinical Epidemiology Center, and the University Outpatient Clinic, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland; 2Division of General Internal Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA; 3VA Center for Health Equity Research and Promotion and VA Pittsburgh Healthcare System, Pittsburgh, PA; 4 Department of Biostatistics, Graduate School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA; 5Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA; 6Division of General Internal Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland; 7Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Angers, Angers, France. 1 Copyright (C) 2005 by the American Thoracic Society. Corresponding Author Drahomir Aujesky, MD, MSc Service de Médecine Interne BH10-622 Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Vaudois 1011 Lausanne Switzerland Telephone: +41 21 314 04 81 Fax: +41 21 314 08 71 Email: Drahomir.Aujesky@chuv.ch Grant Support This study was funded by a grant from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (1 R21 HL075521-01A1). Dr. Aujesky was supported by the Swiss Foundation in Medicine and Biology and the Swiss Medical Association, and the Clinical Epidemiology Center, University of Lausanne. Dr. Fine was supported in part by a career development award (K24 AI001769) from the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases. Running Titl

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