计及气象灾害因素电网规划方法.pdfVIP

第 33 卷 第 20 期 电 网 技 术 Vol. 33 No. 20 2009 年 12 月 Power System Technology Dec. 2009 文章编号：1000-3673 （2009 ）20-0082-06 中图分类号：TM715 文献标志码：A 学科代码：470·4051 计及气象灾害因素的电网规划方法 陈皓勇，胡斌，叶荣 （华南理工大学电力学院，广东省 广州市 510640 ） Transmission Network Planning Considering Weather Disaster CHEN Hao-yong，HU Bin ，YE Rong （School of Electric Power，South China University of Technology，Guangzhou 510640，Guangdong Province，China ） ABSTRACT: To resolve the contradiction between enhancing 极端外部灾害因素。然而，输配电线路的故障率是 anti-disaster ability of power network and sustaining rational 其所处天气状态的函数[5-6]，恶劣气象条件下元件发 construction cost, by means of leading in discrepant decision [7] 生故障的概率将明显增加，出现“故障聚集”现象 ， variables and corresponding to discrepant anti-disaster ability 因而可能造成大规模停电，带来巨额损失。如2008 and construction cost a multi-objective power network planning model is built in which the meteorological disaster factor is taken 年初我国南方遭受了罕见的持续雨雪冰冻极端天 into account, and the solving method based on Monte Carlo 气过程袭击，受损停运电力线路共 36 740 条，部分 simulation and multi-objective genetic algorithm, namely 电网解列，导致3 348 万户、1.1 亿人口停电，造成惨 NSGA-II, is given. The necessity of considering meteorological 重的经济损失[8-9] 。冰灾暴露了目前电力规划的缺陷， disaster factor during power network planning is proved by 作为电力可靠性最重要的物质基础，一次系统的规划 Graver 6-bus system. Using the proposed method, the planning 建设应视为对极端外部灾害的长期预防控制[10] 。随着 scheme in which considers both economy and reliability can be obtained, so it