深基坑隆起稳定性模糊可靠度参数分析.pdfVIP

深基坑隆起稳定性的模糊可靠度参数分析 李明宇 刘耀宗 （同济大学，上海 200092 ；上海同豪土木工程咨询有限公司，上海 200092 ） 摘要：深基坑工程的坑底隆起稳定性受多种随机性与模糊性的因素影响。本文将模糊概率和可靠度分析法结合起 来，引入了深基坑隆起破坏分析的普朗特尔公式，建立了两随机变量的模糊可靠度简化模型，对隆起破坏进行了 模糊可靠度评价，并对插入比、支护结构深度、地面超载、内聚力、内摩擦角等参数进行了优化分析。最后通过 实例验证，计算了深基坑隆起失稳的模糊破坏概率和模糊可靠度。结果说明，模糊随机方法能够合理地反映基坑 的实际稳定性。随着地面超载和维护结构深度增大，插入比和粘聚力的减小，深基坑隆起破坏的失效概率逐渐增 加，而模糊可靠度反比例减小。隆起破坏的失效概率与内摩擦角呈近似正态函数关系。 关键词：深基坑；隆起稳定性；普朗特尔公式；模糊可靠度；失效概率 Fuzzy Reliability Analysis on Parameters of the Heave Stability of Deep Foundation Pit LI Mingyu, LIU Yaozong (Tong Ji University, Shanghai 200092, China; Shanghai Tonghao Civil Engineering Consulting Company Ltd., Shanghai 200092, China) Abstract: The heave stability of deep foudation pit is effected by a number of random and fuzzy factors. Combining fuzzy probability with reliability analysis, introducing the Prandtl formula on bulge fracture analysis of deep foundation pit, building a simplified model for fuzzy reliability with two random variables, the fuzzy reliability of the bulge fracture of deep foundation pit is evaluated and insertion ratio, depth of supporting structure, ground overloads, cohesion and angle of internal friction is analyzed.(Besides,the parameters such as insertion ratio, depth of supporting structure, ground overloads, cohesion and angle of internal friction are optimized.) Finally,fuzzy failure probability and fuzzy reliability are calculated through a project example on the heave instability of deep foundation pit. The results show that fuzzy-random analysis can reasonably reflect the actual stability of foundation fit. With increasing of the ground overloads, the depth