棉花产量遥感预测的LY模型构建.pdfVIP

第32卷第6期 作 物 学 报 Vol. 32,No. 6 2006年6月 840一844页 ACTA AGRONOMICA SINICA pp. 840一844 Jun.2006 棉花产量遥感预测的L-Y模型构建 柏军华’李少昆1,2,‘ 王克如’,2王方永，陈 兵’初振东’ (’新疆兵团绿洲生态农业重点开放实验室，新疆石河子832003; z中国农业科学院作物科学研究所/国家农作物基因资源与基因改良重大科学 工程.北京100081) 摘 要:本文利用LAI动态与棉花产量的关系建立了叶面积指数一产量(L -Y)模型，以期利用多时相遥感数据，实现对 棉花产量定量遥感预测。模型建立以小区控制和大田生产试验数据为基础，以农学原理为背景，采用数学推演方法，具 简单、灵活、普适性强等特点。检验结果表明，用便携式光谱辐射计测定棉花冠层高光谱反射率，以棉花全生育期LAI动 态与棉花产量的关系和近地高光谱遥感参数模型监测的多时相LAI，可很好地定量预测棉花产量，估算误差约为5.44%, RMSE达到116.2 kg-hm-Z，预测值与实测值相关系数为0.836，达极显著水平。Iry模型为棉花卫星遥感估产提供了参考 模型，对其他作物使用动态生长信息提高遥感估产水平也有一定的借鉴意义。 关键词:棉花产量;LAI遥感监测; try模型 中图分类号:S562 L-Y Model of Cotton Yield Estimation by Remote Sensing BAI Jun- Huai，LI Sha。一Kunt2,，WANG Ke-Rut2，WANG Fang-Yongi，CHEN Bingt and CHU Zhen-Dongi ( Key Laboratory of Oasis Ecology Agriculture of Xinjiang Construction Crops, Shihezi 832003, Xinjiang; 2 Institute of Crop Sciences, Chinese Academy。 Agricultural Sciences/state Key Laboratory of Crop Genetics and Germplasm Enhancement, Beijing 100081，China) Abstract: The model of L-Y according to the relationship between the dynamic leaf area index and the cotton yield was established based on the experiment data of the plot and field production, and the agricultural theory. The model has the characteristics of simplicity, flexibility, agility, and so forth. The results showed that the model could accomplish the qualitative estimation in the cotton yield with the measurement of leaf area index, the cotton yield and the multi-time LAI from the cotton canopy hyperspectral reflectance by field spectrum radiometer. The relative error of estimation was about 5.44%，and RMSE was 116. 2 kg ha一1，and correlation coefficient between measured and estimated values was 0.836 with a high significance at the 0.99 confidence interval. The referenced model for yield estimation provided from the present research