上汽自主开发应对全球资源紧缺现状的思考.ppt

2007-7-13 Shortage of energy sources leads to customer’s demand on high FE vehicles and mandatory CAFE/CO2 regulations, which changed the global environment for automotive industry. 上海汽车集团股份有限公司技术中心 SAIC MOTOR Technical Center 上汽自主开发应对全球资源紧缺现状的思考 Consideration of SAIC RD in Dealing with the Global Shortage of Energy SAIC Motor Technical Center Presented at FEV PT Conferences September 19. 2008 Shanghai Motivation Oil Price per barrel Take lessons: Under this condition, vehicle FE becomes a critical issue for an automaker to survive. Chrysler, Ford in trouble The Big Three in trouble SAIC’s RD target Outline Transportation energy sources that would be available in the next 30 years The mainstream PT products of passenger cars in the next 30 years The route to achieve the target RD Target SAIC’s RD target is to reduce the Corporative Averaged Fuel Consumption in the next 30 years, to meet the mandatory CAFE/CO2 regulations. US EU mandatory CAFE/CO2 regulations FC (L/100km) Year Importance of RD target oil price, global warming Scenario if OEM’s RD target is unclear: customer needs on high FE vehicle mandatory CAFE/CO2 regulations FE become key factor for an OEM to survive no time resources to improve vehicle FE Low FE results in market share drop work on projects not usable in 30 yrs battery car is unable for mass production new energy source not available in next 30 yrs further loss of market share due to low FE bankrupt Use New Energy Sources? Could we use any new/clean energy source in the next 30 years for transportation? 2H2 + O2 ? 2H2O 2H2O ? 2H2 + O2 A genius idea, but … Producing electricity or H2 requires energy. But, where to get the energy? It is still unclear what energy sources would be available for largely use in the next 50 years to replace petroleum and become the primary transportation energy sources. Coal Coal? Using coal to produce electricity or fuel, such as DME, would increase CO2. Rely on Alternative Fuel? Plug in EV m