典型的技术形态.doc

? TECHNICAL CHART PATTERNS CHARACTERISTICS 典型技术形态?Obtained from the book by Thomas N. Bulkowski, Encyclopedia of? Chart Patterns 摘自Thomas N. Bulkowski, 形态百科全书 Note! Most technical Analysis chart patterns typically occur slowly over a 3 months to 4 months time span. Therefore, you should only? seriously use a weekly chart profile setting and at least? one-years worth of weekly time plots. . 注意：大部分技术形态由3-4月的时间跨度慢慢形成，因此您必须在至少一年以上的周图图表上应用。 TOP 10 BULLISH? TECHNICAL CHART FORMATIONS? WITH HIGHEST MOST LIKELY RISE! 前10大看涨技术形态及最大可能涨幅 AVG.? FAILURES % 平均失败几率 AVG. RISE %? 平均涨幅 LIKELY RISE % 很可能的涨幅 ?? 1. Rounding Tops，圆弧顶 6% 41% 30% ?? 2. Broadening Formations, Right Angled? ?????? Descending 扩散及下降直角三角形 19% 27% 25% ?? 3. Scallops, Ascending 上升扇形 25% 33% 25% ?? 4. Head-and-Shoulders Bottoms, ?????? Complex 复合头肩底 6% 37% 25% ?? 5. Horn Bottoms 喇叭底 11% 37% 25% ?? 6. Head-and-Shoulders Bottoms 头肩底 5% 38% 25% ?? 7. Double Bottoms 双底 3% 40% 25% ?? 8. Wedges, Falling 下降契形 2% 43% 25% ?? 9. Rectangle Top, Up Breakout 长方形顶，向上突破 2% 52% 25% ?10. Flags, High and Tight 旗型 17% 63% 25% TOP 10 BEARISH TECHNICAL CHART FORMATIONS WITH HIGHEST MOST LIKELY DECLINE! 前10大看跌技术形态，最大及最可能的跌幅 AVG.? FAILURES % 平均失败几率 AVG. DECLINE % 平均跌幅 LIKELY DECLINE% 最可能的跌幅 ?? 1. Pennant, trend down，下降三角形 34% 17% 25% ??? 2. Scallops, Descending 下降扇形 3% 24% 20% ??? 3. Head-and-Shoulders,? 复合头肩顶?????? Tops, Complex 8% 27% 20% ??? 4. Diamond Tops 钻石顶 25% 21% 20% 5. Broadening Wedges, Descending,? Down Breakout 扩散契形，下降突破 41% 24% 20% ??? 6. Rectangle Tops, Down Breakout 长方形下突破 0% 20% 20% ??? 7. Broadening Bottoms,? 扩散底，向下突破??????? Down Breakout 6% 27% 17.5% ??? 8. Bump-and-Run Reversal Tops 碰撞反转顶 19% 24% 17.5% ??? 9. Broadening Tops, Down breakout 扩散顶，向下突破 4% 23% 15% 10.Triangles, Descending 下降三角形 4% 19% 15% PATTERN CHARACTERISTICS 形态特征 #1 Bullish! #1看涨 One of the most bullish and dependable chart pattern with only a 6% failure rate and an average positive rise of 41%. Th