天津沿海风暴潮灾害近20年统计及其成因分析.pdfVIP

VoI．16 N0．1 MarineScienceBulletin May 2014 Statisticalandcausesanalysisofstorm surgesalong Tianjincoastduringthepast20years LIXi．bin1，2 SUNXiao—yan3 LIUYang’，2ZHANGQiu．feng’’2NIU Fu—xin ·2 ， ， 。 ， 1．TianjinMarineEnvironmentalMonitoringCentralStation，StateOceanicAssociation(SOA)，Tianjin 300451，China； 2．TianjinMarineEnvironmentalMonitoringandForecastingCenter,Tianjin300451，China； 3．NationalMarineDataandInformationService，Tianjin300171，China； Abstract：Based ontidaldata statisticalanalysisfor20 years ofTanggu Marine EnvironmentalMonitoringStationfrom 1991to2010，weconcludedthatanaverageof nearly10daysof100cmabovewaterincreasetookplaceatTianjincoasteveryyear。 Themaximum hightideandaveragetideofTianjincoastoccurredinsummerand autumn，andthemaximum waterincreasealsooccurredinsummerandautumn．Days withwaterincreasemorethan 1OOcm mostlyoccurred inspring，autumn andwinter． ThenwesummarizedthecausesofcoastalstormsurgedisasterinTianjinbasedon astronomicaltidefactors，meteorologicalfactors，sea levelrise，landsubsidence，and geographic factors，eta1．Finally，we proposed storm surge disasterprevention m eaSUreS． Keywords：Tianjin；stormsurge；waterincrease；statisticalanalysis；acuseanalysis 1 IntroduCtion Storm surge disasterwhich ranksfirstinChina’Smarine disasters．occurred fr0m southtonortharea，almostthroughoutChina’Scoastalareas．CoastofTianjinBinhaiArea locatedatthebayboffom oftheBohaiBaywith the shallow waterand largearea of tida1．fiat．which iS the storm SUrge disaster-prone seriously area．In recentyears，as economicoutputincreases。economicIossescausedbymarinedisasterssuchasstorm surgesareincreasinglyheavier．