森林火灾蔓延多模型预测系统研究.pdfVIP

29 　4 　　　　　　　 Vol.29, No.4 2007 7 JOURNAL OF BEIJING FORESTRY UNIVERSITY Jul., 2007 1 2 2 2 1 田勇臣 　刘少刚 　赵　刚 　胡　健 　李文彬 (1 　2 ) :, . , , , , , . , , . :, , , -- -- -- :S776.29 　　:A　　:1000 1522(2007)04 0049 05 1 2 2 2 1 TIAN Yong-chen ;LIU Sh o-g ng ;ZHAO G ng ;HU Ji n ;LI Wen-bin .Multi-model forecasting system of forest fire spreading based on deductive database.Journal of Beijing Forestry University (2007)29(4) -- 49 53 [Ch, 9 ref.] 1 School of Technology, Beijing Forestry University, 100083, P.R.Chin ; 2 School of Mech nic l nd Electric l Engineering, H rbin Engineering University, 150001, P.R.Chin . Through the study on the model of forec sting forest fire spre ding, this rese rch built multi-model predicting system b sed on the production rule.The forec sting system, which communic tes with the forest fire monitoring system on line, t kes unil ter lism of the re l time d t in the tr dition l formul to the c lcul tion, nd the d t go b ck to the input port for feeding b ck.It formed n mending nd complementing system to the d t b se iming t reducing forec sting errors of the model.Comp red with the pr ctic l consequences, the forec sting results by this system re believ ble nd the system c n fulfil the forec st of forest fire beh vior. Key words 　forest fire, forest fire spre ding, forec sting model, d t b se 　　、 (、) ., , , , , . [ 1] 1　 ., FIGURE 1　Block di gr m of the multi-model forec sting system for forest fire beh vior ———.