垃圾土沉降的Logistic模型应用研究.pdfVIP

垃圾土沉降的Logistic 模型应用研究 刘 　荣 　卢廷浩 (河海大学 岩土工程研究所 　南京 　210098) 　　摘 　要 : 垃圾土的沉降是卫生填埋场沉降机理设计时需考虑的一个重要因素 。通过对垃圾土沉降的分 析 ,指出垃圾土的沉降机理相当复杂 ,与土的沉降机理不尽相同。分析了现有垃圾土沉降模型计算存在的问 题 。采用使观测值和预测值残差平方和达到最小的方法对 Logistic 模型求取参数 ,并应用于香港 Sai Tso Wan 垃圾填埋场及巴西Bandeirantes 填埋场封场期后的沉降预测研究 。结果表明 ,只要选取合适的参数 ,可以克服 现有沉降计算模型的缺陷 ,大幅度提高垃圾土封场期后沉降值的预测精度 。 　　关键词 : 垃圾土 　沉降　Logistic 模型 　参数 　残差 STUDY ON REFUSE SETTL EMENT WITH THE LO GISTIC MOD EL Liu Rong 　Lu Tinghao (Research Institute of Geotechnical Engineering , Hohai University 　Nanjing 　210098) Abstract : The settlement of the refuse is one of the important factors in sanitary landfill design . The settlement mechanism of refuse is analyzed. The complex refuse settlement mechanism is different of the soil settlement mechanism. The questions of the calculation of refuse settlement with existed models are analyzed. The method of the minimum square sum of the remainder between calculated results and measured ones is used to calculate the parameters of logistic model . The parameters are used to study the settlement prediction of Sai Tso Wan sanitary landfill in Hong Kong and Bandeirantes landfill in Brazil . Results show that the faults of existed refuse settlement models can be overcome and the prediction accuracy of the refuse settlement when the sanitary landfill was formed was greatly improved. Keywords : refuse 　settlement 　logistic model 　parameter 　remainder 　　随着我国经济的快速发展 ,城市化与工业化进程的加 几个填埋场研究而得到的经验性结论 ,难以推广[3～5 ] 。4) 垃 快 ,人们生活水平的提高及生活方式的变化 ,城市生活垃圾 圾土的变形机理还很不清楚[6 ] ,是否能沿用经典土力学理论 的产量迅速增加 。生活垃圾如不加以科学合理的处置而任 已引起了一些学者的争议 。5) 由于