地下采动岩层移动预测理论分析与研究.pdfVIP

第 24 卷第 3 期 矿 　冶 　工 　程 Vol. 24 №3 2004 年 06 月 MINING AND METALLURGICAL ENGINEERING June 2004 ① 地下采动岩层移动预测理论分析与研究 赵静波 , 高 　谦 , 李 　莉 (北京科技大学 土木与环境工程学院 , 北京 100083 ) 摘 　要 : 预测岩层移动范围是地下工程设计的前提 ,其预测的可靠性与预测方法有关。对目前用于岩层移动预测的 3 类方法进行 了分析 ,指出每一类方法的适用条件和存在的问题。针对复杂多变的地下工程问题 ,结合程潮铁矿西区地表移动研究 ,提出了根据 工程类比、数值分析与现场监测三者相结合的参数修正与预测技术路线 ,并研究和开发了“地下采动岩层移动预测系统”。 关键词 : 神经网络 ; 现场监测 ; 数值计算 ( ) 中图分类号: TD801 文献标识码 : A 文章编号 : 0253 - 6099 2004 03 - 0001 - 04 Prediction of Undergroundinduced Strata Movement ———Theoretical Analysis and Research ZHAO Jingbo , GAO Qian , LI Li ( ) Beijing University of Science Technology , Beijing 100083, China Abstract : The range of strata movemet is an important basis for underground engineering design. Its prediction’s reliability has something to do with rock ’s parameters and their prediction methods. 3 types of currentlyused predicting methods are ana lyzed and their applicable conditions and existing problems are pointed out. Directing to the complexity and variety of under ground mining engineering and consulting the study on surface movement of the westen region of Chengchao Iron Mine , the in tegrated predicting scheme is put forward which is based on project comparision , numerical analysis and field supervision , and the predicting system of underground mininginduced strata movement is developed. Key words : neural network ; field supervision ; numerical calculation 　　地下工程开挖必然引起岩层变形与移动 ,其变形 经济、安全的重要保证。 速度、影响范围、发生与发展时间受众多因素的影响 ,