09年美国大学生数学建模大赛B题outstanding【荐】.pdfVIP

Modeling Telephony Energy Consumption 353 Modeling Telephony Energy Consumption Amrish Deshmukh Rudolf Nikolaus Stahl Matthew Guay Cornell University Ithaca, NY Advisor: Alexander Vladimirsky Summary The energy consequences of rapidly changing telecommunications tech- nology are a significant concern. While interpersonal communication is ever more important in the modern world, the need to conserve energy has also entered the social consciousness as prices and threats of global climate change continue to rise. Only 20 years after being introduced, cellphones have become a ubiquitous part of the modern world. Simultaneously, the infrastructure for traditional telephones is well in place and the energy costs of such phones may very well be less. As a superior technology, cellphones have gradually begun to replace the landline but consumer habits and per- ceptions have slowed this decline from being an outright abandonment. To evaluate the energy consequences of continued growth in cellphone use and a decline in landline use, we present a model that describes three processes—landline consumption, cellphone consumption, and landline abandonment—as economic diffusion processes. In addition, our model describes the changing energy demands of the two technologies and con- siders the use of companion electronics and consumer habits. Finally, we use these models to determine the energy consequences of the future uses of the two technologies, an optimal mode of delivering phone service, and the costs of wasteful consumer habits. c The UMAP Journal 30 (3) (2009) 353–365. Copyright 2009 by COMAP, Inc. All rights reserved. Permission to make digital or hard copies of part or all of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantag