Statewide ProtocolRegional Application.ppt

Statewide Protocol:Regional Application August 27, 2003 Objectives Simulate year 2000 air quality, including toxics, for all California using regional air quality models. Will provide background concentrations to be used with local dispersion modeling. Previous Experience Modeled southern California for year 1998 Air quality models: CMAQ and CALGRID Meteorological models: MM5 and CALMET Developed annual model performance metrics (toxics and other species) Conducted sensitivity tests to expedite simulation while minimizing error introduced Challenges for Statewide Modeling Very large modeling domain Potentially long run time (meteorological and regional models) Storage and processing of very large input and output files Evaluation of models input/output data Apply lessons learned to optimize statewide modeling Double counting Optimizing Statewide Regional Modeling Apply lessons learned from previous experience modeling southern California Shorter time periods to represent year Use of subdomains to cover entire State Leveraging from other studies: SCOS/CCOS/CRPAQS modeling and databases Statewide Protocol:Regional Modeling Establishes criteria for conducting air quality modeling for toxic air pollutants: Modeling domain definition Selection and evaluation of models Selection of chemical mechanism Preparation of annual emissions inventory Initial and boundary conditions Evaluation of models results Modeling Domain Ideal case Uses large modeling domain that includes entire state Resource intensive and requires long run time Modeling Domain (cont.) For statewide simulation: Use 4 subdomains to cover state (4-km x 4-km grid) Each subdomain modeled independently Less resource intensive and faster run times for each subdomain SCOS subdomain by early 2004 Air Quality Models Selection Sound scientific basis Reflect up-to-date-science Documentation Source code and technical documentation available to the public Air Quality Models (cont.) For statewide simulation: Stat