上海房地产市场投机行为研究.doc

上海房地产市场投机行为研究 崔光灿( 摘 要：在房地产价格持续上升或下降过程中，市场上所有交易者都可能表现出投机行为，我国处于经济体制转轨时期，投机行为会更为突出。本文利用状态空间模型，对上海城市房价实证分析后认为这种投机行为在房地产价格波动中很明显，并影响着房地产价格偏离的发展。本次对房地产市场调控之后一些地区可能会产生价格的持续下跌，从长期看政府应更多的注重制度建设而不是短期的价格波动。 Studying on the speculation of the real estate market Evidence from shanghai Abstract: During the course of the real estate prices keeping on ascending or descending, all the market bargainers are possible to speculate. In time of Chinese economic systems transferring, the speculation is very obvious. After analyzing the real estate prices in Shanghai positively, this paper supports the above opini