scenario2050中国2050能源和排放情景研究.ppt

Energy and GHG Emission scenario up to 2030: Energy Bureau 2050 Low carbon Society Emission Scenarios: MOE(Japan), Defra(UK) New IPCC Scenarios CCICED low carbon scenarios Chinese Academy of Engineering: 2050 Energy Strategy, energy ceiling. Post-Kyoto Options for China Sector based approach analysis: case study for power generation in China Low Carbon Scenario in Province and Cities: Guangdong, Hongkong, Jilin, Jilin City, Baoding, Shanghai, Beijing, Shijiazhuang AEEMF: Asian Scenarios Embedded Carbon: international trade, final products Other relative studies: 2008-2010 * * * * * 2050年の家庭生活を想像してみよう。 2050年の一軒家の屋根には太陽光や太陽熱温水器、屋上緑化装置が設置され、太陽の恵みを活かした家作りが行われている。 また、必要な暖房や照明サービスは使いたいときに必要な分を使えるようにしながら、高断熱住宅にしたり高効率照明にすることで、使うエネルギーの量を大幅に削減する。ただし、24時間つけっぱなしでは困るので、環境情報をモニター等で人々に伝えるしくみができている。 一方、2050年になると、家族がさらに協力するコミュニティーが必要だ。。。 * This program has stimulated competition and innovation in the market. For example, electricity consumption per refrigerator has become in the last 20 years while the size of refrigerators has become big! * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Automobile Ownership: The second most important purchase by households shows signs across countries of saturation at around $30,000 per capita and just over 1 car per two persons. This is more than 1 car per household. In the US ownership has almost reached 1 car per adult. Even if ownership expanded beyond this level, with speciality cars for different occasions, energy demand would not be significantly affected. * * 中国2050能源和排放情景研究 Energy and Emission Scenario up to 2050 for China 姜克隽 Jiang Kejun 能源研究所 Energy Research Institute 中国2050情景构架 Scenario Framework 好的能源安全效果 Good effects on energy security 坏的气候变化效果 Bad effects on Climate Change 坏的能源安全效果 Bad effects on energy security 好的气候变化效果 Good effects on Climate Change BaU Scenario High GDP low carbon scenario High GDP Enhanced Low Carbon Scenario Low GDP Low Carbon Scenario Framework of Integrated Policy Model for China (IPAC) ERI, China ERI, Ch