基于人工神经网络的棉花价格动态模型分析.pdfVIP

27 3 () Vol. 27 No. 3 2008 6 JOURNA L OF HENAN POLYTECHNIC UNIVERS ITY ( NATURAL SC IENCE) Jun. 2008 1 2 王利红 , 许合利 * ( 1. , 454003; 2. , 454003) : 采用神经网络方法, 利用神经元的自适应和自学习能力, 建立了棉花价格波 的 态 模型, 并从国家宏观经济发展角度出发, 系统地探讨了我国棉花销售市场发展变化的内外因 素及价格变化趋势. 从棉花的销售价格销售方式及质量认定等方面分析了棉花市场的供求 关系及棉花价格波 的主要原因, 根据棉花市场的经济发展规律及棉花形势的主要特点和当 前棉花工作中存在的主要问题, 提出了相关政策性的建议. : 态模型; 自学习; 销售价格; 神经网络 : TP 183 : A : 1673- 9798 ( 2008) 03- 0319- 05 Cotton price d nam ic model anal zing based on neural netw ork 1 2 WANG li- hong , XU He- li ( 1. School of Comp uter Science and Technology, H enan P oly technic University, Jiaozuo 454003, China; 2. Computer Center, H enan P oly technic University, J iaozuo 454003, China) Abs tract: Adopting the neural netw ork method, b using of nerve cell adatping and learning, the d nam ic model of cotton price is bu ilt. The internal and external factors wh ich affect cotton price are given s stematic discussion from macro- econom ic. The main reasons are anal zed, based on the develop ing rule of cotton ralem aket and them ain character istic, and the advices of polic are put forw ard. K ey w ord s: d nam icmodel; learning; vendition; neural newt ork 0 , , , , . , , . , , , , , . 2007 45 , , 10 600 /t. 2008 34, , . , , , , 3 a, BP , [ 1] [ 2