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Assessing+changes+in+extreme+precipitation+over+Xinjiang+using+regional+climate+model+of+PRECIS.pdf

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Assessing+changes+in+extreme+precipitation+over+Xinjiang+using+regional+climate+model+of+PRECIS.pdf

的天空？ Sciences in Cold and Arid Regions Volume 7, Issue 2, April, 2015 Citation: Zhang YW, Ge QS, Jiang FQ, et al., 2015. Assessing changes in extreme precipitation over Xinjiang using regional climate model of PRECIS. Sciences in Cold and Arid Regions, 7(2): 0170–0179. DOI: 10.3724/SP.J.1226.2015.00170. Assessing changes in extreme precipitation over Xinjiang using regional climate model of PRECIS YanWei Zhang 1,2,3, QuanSheng Ge 1*, FengQing Jiang 4, JingYun Zheng 1, WenShou Wei 4 1. Institute of Geographic Sciences andNatural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China 2. College of Environment and Planning, Shangqiu Normal University, Shangqiu, Henan 476000, China 3. College of Geographical Science, Shanxi Normal University, Linfen 041000, Shanxi, China 4. Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi, Xinjiang 830011, China *Correspondence to: Dr. QuanSheng Ge, Professor of Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences. No. 11, Datun Road, Beijing 100101, China. E-mail: geqs@ Received: March 19, 2014 Accepted: July 17, 2014 ABSTRACT In this paper, an analysis, with the simulation of PRECIS (Providing Regional Climate for Impact Studies), was made for future precipitation extremes, under SRES (Special Report on Emission Scenarios) A2 and B2 in IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) AR4. The precipitation extremes were calculated and analyzed by ETCCDI (Climate Change Detection and Indices). The results show that: (1) In Present Scenario (1961–1900), PRECIS could capture the spatial patt