《Arctic sea ice and atmospheric circulation under the abrupt4xCO2 scenario》.pdfVIP

•Article • Advances in Polar Science doi: 10.13679/j.advps.2014.4.00234 December 2014 Vol. 25 No. 4: 234-245 Arctic sea ice and atmospheric circulation under the abrupt4xCO2 scenario 1 1,2 1 1 YU Xiaoyong , Annette Rinke , JI Duoying , CUI Xuefeng John C. Moore1* 1 State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China; 2 Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Potsdam, Germany Received 31 May 2014; accepted 25 November 2014 Abstract We analyze sea ice changes from eight different earth system models that have conducted experiment abrupt4xCO2 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). In response to abrupt quadrupling of CO2 from preindustrial levels, Arctic temperatures dramatically rise by about 10°C—16°C in winter and the seasonal sea ice cycle and sea ice concentration are significantly changed compared with the pre-industrial control simulations (piControl). Changes of Arctic sea ice concentration are spatially correlated with temperature patterns in all seasons and highest in autumn. Changes in sea ice are associated with changes in atmospheric circulation patterns at heights up to the jet stream. While the pattern of sea level pressure changes is generally similar to the surface air temperature change pattern, the wintertime 500 hPa circulation displays a positive