《Assessing Maize Drought Hazard for Agricultural Areas Based on the Fuzzy Gamma Model》.pdfVIP

Availableonlineatwww．sciencedirect．com ‰～ Journalof IntegrativeAgriculture 麓，”学≯9‘‘Direct5cJenceU 2013，12(3)：532—540 March2013 Maize Hazardr AreasBased013the AssessingDrought Agricultural Fuzzy GammaModel LIU andTONG Xing-pen91，-，ZHANGJi—quanl一，CAIWei—yin93 Zhi-junl，2 。NaturalDisaster Normal 130024 Research UrbanandEnvironmentalSciences，Northeast Institute，Collegeof University,Changchun P．尺．China 2 Education／NortheastNormal 130024，P．R．China KeyLaboratoryforVegetationEcology,Ministryof University,Changchun 3CollegeofTourism．ChangchunUniversity,Changchun130607,P．R．China onethe disastersandcausesofseriouslossesfor is of severe Drought meteorological agriculturalproductions，andearly assessmentof hazard iscriticalin ofmaize anovelmethodfor drought degree managementfarming．Thisstudyproposes assessmentofmaize hazardindifferent dividedthemaize intofour drought growthstages．First，thestudy growthperiod critical causalfactorswere growthstages，includingseeding，elongation，tasseling，andfilling．Second，maizedrought selectedandthe functionwas builta modeltoassessmaize fuzzymembership established．Finally，thestudy fuzzygamma the 0．93was establishedMonteCarlo hazards，and drought