《Impact of the central Pacific zonal wind divergence and convergence on the central Pacific El Nio event》.pdfVIP

Acta Oceanol. Sin., 2014, Vol. 33, No. 11, P. 85–89 DOI: 10.1007/s13131-014-0497-3 E-mail: hyxbe@263.net Impact of the central Pacific zonal wind divergence and convergence on the central Pacific El Niño event ZUO Tao1,2,3, CHEN Jinnian1,2*, WANG Hongna1,2 1 Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Qingdao 266071, China 2 Key Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Waves, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Qingdao 266071, China 3 University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China Received 11 November 2013; accepted 4 May 2014 ©The Chinese Society of Oceanography and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2014 Abstract The central Pacific (CP) zonal wind divergence and convergence indices are defined, and the forming mech- anism of CP El Niño (La Niña) events is discussed preliminarily. The results show that the divergence and convergence of the zonal wind anomaly (ZWA) are the key process in the forming of CP El Niño (La Niña) events. A correlation analysis between the central Pacific zonal wind divergence and convergence indices and central Pacific El Niño indices indicates that there is a remarkable lag correlation between them. The central Pacific zonal wind divergence and convergence indices can be used to predict the CP events. Based on these results, a linear regression equation is obtained to predict the CP El Niño (La Niña) events 5 months ahead. Key words: TAO observation data, central Pacific, El Niño, La Niña, zonal wind, divergent and convergent indices Citation: Zuo Tao, Chen Jinnian, Wang Hongna. 2014. Impact of the central Pacific zonal wind divergence and convergence on the central Pacific El Niño event. Acta Oceanologica Sinica, 33(11): 85–89, doi: 10.1007/s13131-014-0497-3 1 Introduction CP El Niño. Kug et al. (2009) and Choi et al. (2011) indicated that In addition to a canonical El Niño with its major center of