《Impact ofTemperature onMortality inThree Major Chinese Cities》.pdfVIP

Biomed Environ Sci, 2014; 27(7): 485-494 485 Original Article Impact of Temperature on Mortality in Three Major Chinese Cities* 1 2 3 4 1,5,6,# ZHANG Jing , LI Tian Tian , TAN Jian Guo , HUANG Cun Rui , and KAN Hai Dong 1. School of Public Health, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety of Ministry of Education, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China; 2. Institute of Environmental Health and Related Product Safety, China Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100021, China; 3. Shanghai Key Laboratory of Meteorology and Health, Shanghai Meteorological Institute, SMB, Shanghai 200030, China; 4. School of Public Health and Institute of Health and Biomedical Innovation, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland 4059, Australia; 5. Research Institute for the Changing Global Environment and Fudan Tyndall Centre, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China; 6. Shanghai Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Particle Pollution and Prevention, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China Abstract Objective To study the relation between temperature and mortality by estimating the temperature-related mortality in Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou. Methods Data of daily mortality, weather and air pollution in the three cities were collected. A distributed lag nonlinear model was established and used in analyzing the effects of temperature on mortality. Current and future net temperature-related mortality was estimated. Results The association between temperature and mortality was J-shaped