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Subscriber access provided by UNIV DI MILANO Sensitivity Analysis for Chemical Models Andrea Saltelli, Marco Ratto, Stefano Tarantola, and Francesca Campolongo Chem. Rev., 2005, 105 7 , 2811-2828? DOI: 10.1021/cr040659d ? Publication Date Web : 19 May 2005 Downloaded from on April 22, 2009 More About This Article Additional resources and features associated with this article are available within the HTML version: ? Supporting Information ? Links to the 4 articles that cite this article, as of the time of this article download ? Access to high resolution figures ? Links to articles and content related to this article ? Copyright permission to reproduce figures and/or text from this article Chemical Reviews is published by the American Chemical Society. 1155 Sixteenth Street N.W., Washington, DC 20036 Chem. Rev. 2005, 105, 2811?2827 2811 Sensitivity Analysis for Chemical Models Andrea Saltelli,* Marco Ratto, Stefano Tarantola, and Francesca Campolongo European Commission, Joint Research Centre of Ispra I , Institute for the Protection and Security of the Citizen, TP 361, Via Enrico Fermi 1, 21020 Ispra VA , Italy Received November 22, 2004 Contents uncertain input and the output is the job of sensitiv- ity analysis.2 1. Introduction 2811 Mathematical sensitivities in the form of model 2. Methods 2814 output derivatives are a straightforward implemen- 2.1. A Simple Example, Using Local Sensitivity 2814 tation of this sensitivity concept. If the model output Analysis of interest is Y, its sensitivity to an input factor X i is 2.2. Monte Carlo Methods on the Simple Example 2816 simply Y′ Y/ X . This measure tells how sensi- X i 2.3. Fourier Amplitude Sensitivity Test FAST 2817 i tive the output is to a perturbation of the input. If a 2.4. Monte Carlo-Based Version of FAST and the 2818 measure independent from the units used for Y and Work of Sobol’ X is needed, Sr X /Y Y/ X can be used, where i X i i 2.5. The Second Test Case 2819 i X i is the nominal