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(拟合优度检验).ppt
5.4 Testing of hypothesis The objective of statistical test is to confirm that the hypothesis (assumption) is valid under given confidence level Chi-square goodness-of-fit test is considered the most common test in traffic engineering Chi-square goodness-of-fit test (拟合优度检验) Establish hypothesis (检验假设) Data processing Compute Determine confidence level (置信水平) Determine decision value of Chi-square Draw conclusion --- accept hypothesis, otherwise reject --- observed frequency for each group --- theoretical frequency for each group (greater than 5 in practice) --- number of groups (after final grouping to meet Fi5) confidence level 1- two kinds of errors in testing (1) true hypothesis is declined ( 弃真) (2) false hypothesis is accepted (取伪) significance testing (显著性检验) is considered without taking care of When confidence level is 90% hypothesis is accepted When confidence level is 75% hypothesis is rejected hypothesis is accepted hypothesis is rejected Summary of Chi-square test It belongs to non-parameter test Increasing confidence level (reducing value of ) will enhance the probability of hypothesis to be accepted There is tradeoff in the selection of confidence level is 0.10 or 0.05 in traffic engineering It is always true that enlarging sample size will enhance the probability of hypothesis to be accepted 本章要点 掌握非对称Skewness的定义及其含义 掌握伯松分布,二项分布和负指数分布的使用条件和计算 掌握M/M/1分布计算公式的使用条件和公式 卡方检验的过程和注意事项 对于不同的分布,自由度是如何确定的 本文观看结束!!! * * * g-2 1 Exponential g-3 2 Binomial g-2 1 Poisson g-3 2 Normal DF a Distribution Determination of degree of freedom Example 1 for Chi-Square test Example 2 for Chi-Square test Example 3 for Chi-Square test 谢 谢 欣 赏!
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