《江苏省耕地利用时空格局演变分析（英文版）》.pdfVIP

Agricultural Science Technology, 2013, 14(10): 1517-1520, 1525 Copyright 訫 2013, Information Institute of HAAS. All rights reserved Agricultural Economy Pattern Change and Regional Disparity Tendency of Cultivated Land Use in Jiangsu Province 鄢 Tao JIN , Zhou XU Agriculture College, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225009, China Abstract The study has examined the tempo鄄spatial patterns of cultivated land use 江苏省耕地利用时空格局演变 change in Jiangsu province. A principal component analysis (PCA) of 18 selected indicators of cultivated land use during the period 1970-2010 identified 2 main pat鄄 分析 terns of change in planting productivity and economic efficiency. A major shift from 金 涛 * ，徐 舟 （扬 州大学农 学院 ，江苏 扬州 production鄄centered pattern to profit鄄oriented one occurred in 1984, the time of grain yield surplus and the mitigation of population pressure. In response to the impending 225009） Opened Market System, there was a notable tendency of higher efficiency and less 摘 要 运用主成分分析法 ，对江苏省耕地利 productivity since 1997, as well as remarkable regional disparity of cultivated land 用的规模 、结构 、效率和强度的综合 变化 过程 use change spatially. It revealed a relative decrease in grain cropping share, crop鄄 及现阶段空间分化态势进行研究 。 结果表明 ， ping scale and cultivation intensity in South Jiangsu, especially in Tai鄄Lake region, 1970~2010 年 ，江 苏省耕地利用强度和增产能 and the reverse in North Jiangsu. Some suggestions for the future were finally dis鄄 力由快速增长转至高位徘徊 ，耕地利用结构与 cussed from the above findings. Key words Cultivated land use; Pattern change; Regional disparity; PCA; Jiangsu 增收能力则先减后增 ， 整个过程以 1984 年 为 Province 转折点 。 1997 年 以来 ，江苏省耕地利用总体呈