我国城镇居民人均消费支出实证分析【大学毕业论文】.docVIP

本科学年论文 论文题目：我国城镇居民人均消费支出实证分析 学生姓名： 杨大祥 学 号： 0704100408 专 业： 统计学 班 级： 0704 指导教师： 耿宏强 完成日期：2009年 12月 20 日 我国城镇居民人均消费支出实证分析 内 容 摘 要 近年来，中国经济保持了快速发展势头，投资、出口、消费投资和出口拉动通过建立计量模型，运用计量分析方法对影响城镇居民人均消费支出的各因素进行相关分析找出其中关键影响因素，为政策制定者提供一定参考，最终促使消费需求这架“马车”能成为引领中国经济健康、快速持续发展的基石Urban per capita consumption expenditure empirical analysis Abstract In recent years, Chinese commitment to stimulate economic growth in domestic demand, consumer spending is needed, just need to analyze consumer spending. Chinas economy has maintained a rapid development momentum, which is mainly rely on investment and export and consumption to pull the growth, since, investment and exports accounted for a considerable proportion of consumption, and the role of further improvement. In recent years China has reduced export tax rebates, many coastal areas, the company manufacturing a financial crisis, foreign markets, so many products purchasing power weakening, want to solve their sale, dont let them with time lost value or increase inventory costs, the government needs to accelerate the development of domestic consumption market, it needs to solve the problem of consumption. This paper through analyzing large urban per capita influence factors of consumer spending, build multivariate econometric model, using qualitative analysis and the relevant statistical analysis software to affect our urban per capita consumption expenditure factors of correlation analysis and related inspection, to find the key factors, so as to establish correct affect consumer spending econometric model. On the basis of the econometrics model, and find that the consumer, also puts forward some policy Suggestions that policymakers offer some references, ultimately, consumer demand it can become carriage, Chinas economic rapid, healthy, stable and sustainable development of Chinas economy, the foundation to better, faster, and mor