采用横纵向误差平移插值修正的风电预测精度改善方法.pdfVIP

39 卷 10 期 电 网 技 术 Vol. 39 No. 10 20 15 年10 月 Power System Technology Oct. 2015 文章编号：1000-3673 （20 15）10-2758-08 中图分类号：TM 614 文献标志码：A 学科代码：470 40 采用横纵向误差平移插值修正的 风电预测精度改善方法 1 2 3 1 4 1 胡亚伟 ，王筱 ，晁勤 ，蔺红 ，陈哲 ，王一波 1．新疆大学 电气工程学院，新疆维吾尔自治区 乌鲁木齐市 830047； 2．国网新疆电力公司，新疆维吾尔自治区 乌鲁木齐市 830002； 3．克拉玛依理工学院 筹建办公室，新疆维吾尔自治区 克拉玛依市 834000； 4．奥尔堡大学 工程与科学学院，丹麦 奥尔堡市 9220 ） A Forecasting Accuracy Improvement Method for Wind Power Based on Phase and Level Errors Translating and Interpolating Correction 1 2 3 1 4 1 HU Yawei , WANG Xiao , CHAO Qin , LIN Hong , CHEN Zhe , WANG Yibo (1. School of Electrical Engineering, Xinji ang University, Urumchi 830047, Xinj iang Uygur Autonomous Region, China; 2. State Grid Xinji ang Electric Power Company, Urumchi 830002, Xinji ang Uygur Autonomous Region, China; 3. Preparatory Office, Karamay Institute of Technology, Karamay 834000, Xinji ang Uygur Autonomous Region, China; 4. School of Engineering and Science, Aalborg University, Aalborg 9220, Denmark) ABSTRACT: At present, accuracy of short-term wind power 32.34%, level absolute error is 32.58 MW, reduced by 18.65%. forecasting is low, level errors are widely used as evaluation The accuracy of short-term wind power forecasting is index, while few statistics about phase errors (delay or ahead of effectively improved. time) are studied. In this pa