风电功率预测偏差管理与申报出力决策.pdfVIP

第 35 卷 第 12 期 电 网 技 术 Vol. 35 No. 12 2011 年 12 月 Power System Technology Dec. 2011 文章编号：1000-3673 （2011 ）12-0160-05 中图分类号：TM 741 文献标志码：A 学科代码：470·4054 风电功率预测偏差管理与申报出力决策 吴政球，王韬 （湖南大学电气与信息工程学院，湖南省 长沙市 410082 ） Deviation Management of Wind Power Prediction and Decision-Making of Wind Power Bidding WU Zhengqiu, WANG Tao (College of Electrical Information Engineering, Hunan University, Changsha 410082, Hunan Province, China) ABSTRACT: The deviation of wind power prediction lead to a 0 引言 lot of adjustment cost for AGC, so how to utilize the incentive 大量风电接入系统后，风电功率的不确定性和 policy to improve the prediction accuracy of wind power is 风电预测的不准确性增加了电网调度公司运行管 significant for secure and economic operation of power grid. The examination and management of prediction accuracy of 理的难度[1-13] 。为了应对风电功率的突变，电网中 wind power participated in market transaction and the optimal 必须有大量的快速调节的备用电源。大量的备用电 bidding of wind farm output are researched. Referring to 源会导致系统运行费用大量增加，为减小备用电源 present method to exam the generated power of conventional 容量及运行费用，必须进行准确的风电预测。由于 power plants by grid dispatch cooperation, a method to exam 不同风电场由不同的风电公司拥有，且风电场风电 the uncertainty of wind power prediction is given; according to 机组众多，风电场地域广泛，风速测量要求高，由 the probability density of wind power prediction and taking the 电网调度公司统一进行风电预测有很大难度。目 maximum revenue expectation of wind farm as objective, a 前，我国风电上网政策是政府补贴，电网调度公司 optimal decision-making strategy