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Investing in Infrastructure: Factors Affecting Sector Performance
By Sanford V. Berg 1
Public Utility Research Center , University of Florida
March 2009
The international financial crisis and global downturn will influence prospects for infrastructure
investment, particularly in developing countries where income growth will be significantly
affected. Likely policy changes (based on short-term political considerations) result in a riskier
environment for investment. Furthermore, citizens will be particularly concerned with price
increases in those network sectors that government agencies are supposed to be supervising.
Thus, it is a good time to examine the factors that affect infrastructure performance—to assist
businesses in fine-tuning their investment strategies and to help political leaders appreciate the
importance of providing predictable policy environments if they are not to damage these key
sectors—energy, water, telecommunications, and transportation. Therefore, the purpose of this
paper is to help investors assess trends in these sectors regardless of the nation under
consideration.
Assessing long-term commercial prospects requires analysts to characterize the policy
environment, including regulatory systems. Given the complexities associated with evaluating
past performance and likely developments, investors need to be able to examine key features of a
country. Some analysts emphasize the design of regulatory institutions, some focus on the
regulatory process (including adherence to announced schedules, transparency, and citizen
participa
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